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Evaluation of Pollutant Emission Reduction in Cities Participating in the Clean Air Federal Project

https://doi.org/10.35627/2219-5238/2026-34-5-17-26

Abstract

Introduction: As part of the Clean Air Federal Project, Comprehensive Action Plans (CAPs) for reducing pollutant emissions were developed and approved in all participating cities. However, these CAPs do not allow for indicators describing the state of sanitary and epidemiological well-being. One such indicator could be achieving acceptable levels of public health risk.

Objective: To evaluate the reduction in pollutant emissions in the cities of Ussuriysk and Petrovsk-Zabaikalsky, both included in the Clean Air Federal Project, from the perspective of acceptability of public health risk levels.

Materials and Methods: We used Comprehensive Emission Reduction Action Plans and summary calculation databases to model ground-level air pollutant concentrations and assess chronic non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic health risks.

Results: By 2036, the carcinogenic risk is expected to decrease by an average of 31.6 %, while the non-carcinogenic risk to organs and systems is expected to drop by 69.1 % in Petrovsk-Zabaikalsky. In Ussuriysk, they will decrease by 39.3 % and 45.9 %, respectively.

Discussion: Risk reduction in the cities under study will not have significant hygienic implications, since the predicted risk levels for the current situation are assessed as acceptable. We did not consider acute exposure to pollutants based on their maximum concentrations due to the lack of information on the reduction of maximum emissions in line with CAPs, which could be essential for these cities since HQs for acute exposure to some substances had been previously predicted as high.

Conclusion: The study demonstrates a significant reduction in public health risks expected following CAP implementation in the years 2030 and 2036. It is relevant to assess the reduction of risks from acute exposures to benzene, sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen dioxide but it is impossible at present due to the absence of appropriate plans to reduce maximum emissions.

About the Authors

Vladimir N. Fedorov
North-West Public Health Research Center
Russian Federation

Vladimir N. Fedorov, Senior Researcher, Head of the Department of Public Health Risk Analysis,

4, 2nd Sovetskaya Street, Saint Petersburg, 191036.



Nadezhda A. Sklizkova
North-West Public Health Research Center
Russian Federation

Nadezhda A. Sklizkova, Researcher, Department of Public Health Risk Analysis, 

4, 2nd Sovetskaya Street, Saint Petersburg, 191036.



Yuliya A. Novikova
North-West Public Health Research Center
Russian Federation

Yuliya A. Novikova, Cand. Sci. (Tech.), Leading Researcher, Head of the Department of Public Health Analysis and Monitoring,

4, 2nd Sovetskaya Street, Saint Petersburg, 191036.



Igor O. Myasnikov
North-West Public Health Research Center
Russian Federation

Igor O. Myasnikov, Cand. Sci. (Med.), Leading Researcher, Head of the Department of Scientific Support of Public Health Monitoring,

4, 2nd Sovetskaya Street, Saint Petersburg, 191036.



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Review

For citations:


Fedorov V.N., Sklizkova N.A., Novikova Yu.A., Myasnikov I.O. Evaluation of Pollutant Emission Reduction in Cities Participating in the Clean Air Federal Project. Public Health and Life Environment – PH&LE. 2026;34(5):17-26. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.35627/2219-5238/2026-34-5-17-26

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ISSN 2219-5238 (Print)
ISSN 2619-0788 (Online)